A coalition of carbon producers and high emitters, including China, India, Saudi Arabia, Kenya, and Russia, is attempting to delay the next report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). They cite a need for more time and additional money so that scientists from developing nations can take part.
The physical-science report is scheduled for 2028, but the group wants to push its release to the following year. All of the members are major producers of coal, oil, or gas, and Kenya is on the verge of launching large-scale oil production, with reserves exceeding 500 million barrels.
The next global stocktake, which measures how well nations are meeting the Paris Agreement’s goals, will occur that year. Scientific findings have been moving toward greater urgency in cutting emissions, and several members would prefer to avoid being judged against the newest data.
Saudi Arabia and Russia would benefit from having scientists under their influence within the IPCC effort, allowing them to represent oil-industry interests. The panel already includes experts from China, India, and roughly a dozen other developing countries.
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Atmospheric physics does not change with geography, and while expanding the pool of climate scientists in developing regions would be helpful, it is not a short-term solution. Climate action is urgent, and the nations most vulnerable to climate change, such as island states and the world’s poorest countries, oppose any postponement.
A representative of the Marshall Islands called the obstructive tactics a “shameful play for time,” warning that the coalition cannot afford further delays. A diverse coalition including European countries, Latin American nations, and small island states has pushed back, arguing for earlier publication.
The IPCC has already lost one of its major funders, the United States, after the previous administration withdrew support.